Canada · Federal Election 2025

Date: 2025-04-28 · Status: Completed

🏆 Who won?

Volume: $11.9M
Liberal80.2%
Conservative19.5%
Bloc Québécois0.1%
NDP0.1%
People's Party0.1%
Green0.1%

Implied probability (Polymarket) · total volume US$ 11.9M

0255075100Jan 25Apr 25
Conservative <1%Liberal 99%NDP <1%People's Party <1%Green <1%

Market snapshot on 2025-04-27, pre-result (market closed). View on Polymarket

Political context

The federal election election in Canada 2025 is monitored by AFOS Analytics with prediction market data, electoral polls, and critical event analysis.

Market implications

Election outcomes in Canada directly impact sovereign risk perception, capital flows, and global investor decisions. Prediction markets price likely scenarios in real time.

Institutional relevance

Funds, banks, and strategic consultancies use election signals to anticipate market movements. AFOS Analytics consolidates these signals into an accessible interface.

Why prediction markets

Real-money prediction markets (like Polymarket) are historically competitive with polls. They reflect where people put their money, not just their opinion; and the divergence between the two is the signal AFOS tracks.