Global Electoral Political Risk Intelligence
Real-time cross-referencing of prediction markets, electoral polls and news. Open-source, auditable public sources.
Divergence validated by the real result.
Our analyses
For you to read about
electoral political riskFor you to read about electoral political risk
A didactic guide to how AFOS cross-references markets, polls and press, and why it flags divergences.
How it works →Narrative synthesis cross-referencing Polymarket, polls, and news. Reads in 5 minutes.
Browse AFOS Daily →Technical weekly brief without smoothed averages. Audience: research, buy-side, treasury.
Browse AFOS Tradeoff →Validated cases (Germany, Canada, Chile, Peru, Colombia) with market × poll divergence, plus the live odds map.
Explore coverage →15
Countries monitored
17+
Polling institutes
30min
Market refresh rate
100%
Open-source
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Everything you need to track elections
Multi-source data cross-referenced in real time
Prediction Markets
Real-money Polymarket odds. The most accurate probability indicator for elections, updated every 30 minutes.
Electoral Polls
Official TSE data and 17 Brazilian institutes. Automatic cross-analysis with prediction market odds.
Interactive Global Map
15 countries with monitored elections. D3.js visualization with data aggregated by region and candidate.
Live News
Automatic political news aggregation with categorization by topic and electoral relevance.
Strategic Analysis
Political sentiment, economic risks and scenario analysis, updated with artificial intelligence.
Transparent & Secure
Open source on GitHub. LGPD compliant. No invasive tracking. Your data is yours.
Elections we monitor
Global coverage
