Chile · Presidential 2025

Date: 2025-11-16 · Status: Completed

🏆 Who won?

Volume: $48.8M
José Antonio Kast66%
Jeannette Jara16.2%
Johannes Kaiser12.3%
Evelyn Matthei5.8%
Franco Parisi0.8%
Jaime Mulet0.1%
Carolina Tohá0.1%
Gonzalo Winter0.1%

Implied probability (Polymarket) · total volume US$ 48.8M

0255075100May 25Dec 25
José Antonio Kast 99%Evelyn Matthei <1%Jeannette Jara <1%Johannes Kaiser <1%Carolina Tohá <1%

Market snapshot on 2025-10-31, pre-result (market closed). View on Polymarket

Political context

The presidential election in Chile 2025 is monitored by AFOS Analytics with prediction market data, electoral polls, and critical event analysis.

Market implications

Election outcomes in Chile directly impact sovereign risk perception, capital flows, and global investor decisions. Prediction markets price likely scenarios in real time.

Institutional relevance

Funds, banks, and strategic consultancies use election signals to anticipate market movements. AFOS Analytics consolidates these signals into an accessible interface.

Why prediction markets

Real-money prediction markets (like Polymarket) are historically competitive with polls. They reflect where people put their money, not just their opinion; and the divergence between the two is the signal AFOS tracks.

Chile 2025 Presidential Election | AFOS Analytics