Colombia · Presidential 2026

Date: 2026-05-31 · Status: Completed

🏆 Who won?

Volume: $37.1M
Abelardo de la Espriella88.5%
Iván Cepeda Castro12.5%

Implied probability (Polymarket) · total volume US$ 37.1M

0255075100Jul 25Jun 26
Abelardo de la Espriella 89%Iván Cepeda Castro 13%Sergio Fajardo <1%Paloma Valencia <1%Vicky Dávila <1%

Market snapshot on 2026-06-15, pre-result (market closed). View on Polymarket

Political context

The presidential election in Colombia 2026 is monitored by AFOS Analytics with prediction market data, electoral polls, and critical event analysis.

Market implications

Election outcomes in Colombia directly impact sovereign risk perception, capital flows, and global investor decisions. Prediction markets price likely scenarios in real time.

Institutional relevance

Funds, banks, and strategic consultancies use election signals to anticipate market movements. AFOS Analytics consolidates these signals into an accessible interface.

Why prediction markets

Real-money prediction markets (like Polymarket) are historically competitive with polls. They reflect where people put their money, not just their opinion; and the divergence between the two is the signal AFOS tracks.

Colombia 2026 Presidential Election | AFOS Analytics