France · Legislative (Assembly) 2024

Date: 2024-06-30 · Status: Completed

🏆 Who won?

Volume: $0.9M
Rassemblement National98.8%
Other0.4%
Renaissance0.4%
Les Républicains0.25%
La France Insoumise0.85%
Parti Socialiste0.3%

Implied probability (Polymarket) · total volume US$ 0.9M

0255075100Jun 24Jul 24
Rassemblement National 99%Renaissance <1%La France Insoumise <1%

Market snapshot on 2024-07-06, pre-result (market closed). View on Polymarket

Political context

The legislative (assembly) election in France 2024 is monitored by AFOS Analytics with prediction market data, electoral polls, and critical event analysis.

Market implications

Election outcomes in France directly impact sovereign risk perception, capital flows, and global investor decisions. Prediction markets price likely scenarios in real time.

Institutional relevance

Funds, banks, and strategic consultancies use election signals to anticipate market movements. AFOS Analytics consolidates these signals into an accessible interface.

Why prediction markets

Real-money prediction markets (like Polymarket) are historically competitive with polls. They reflect where people put their money, not just their opinion; and the divergence between the two is the signal AFOS tracks.