Germany · Federal Election 2025

Date: 2025-02-23 · Status: Completed

🏆 Who won?

Volume: $106.3M
CDU/CSU96.7%
AfD3.3%
Grüne0.1%
BSW0.1%
SPD0.1%
FDP0.1%

Implied probability (Polymarket) · total volume US$ 106M

0255075100Dec 24Feb 25
CDU/CSU 99%AfD <1%SPD <1%Grüne <1%FDP <1%

Market snapshot on 2025-02-22, pre-result (market closed). View on Polymarket

Political context

The federal election election in Germany 2025 is monitored by AFOS Analytics with prediction market data, electoral polls, and critical event analysis.

Market implications

Election outcomes in Germany directly impact sovereign risk perception, capital flows, and global investor decisions. Prediction markets price likely scenarios in real time.

Institutional relevance

Funds, banks, and strategic consultancies use election signals to anticipate market movements. AFOS Analytics consolidates these signals into an accessible interface.

Why prediction markets

Real-money prediction markets (like Polymarket) are historically competitive with polls. They reflect where people put their money, not just their opinion; and the divergence between the two is the signal AFOS tracks.

Germany 2025 Federal Election Election | AFOS Analytics