India · General (Lok Sabha) 2024

Date: 2024-04-19 · Status: Completed

🏆 Who won?

Volume: $0.8M
NDA 351-375 cadeiras46%
NDA 376-400 cadeiras34%
NDA mais de 40022%
NDA 326-350 cadeiras14%
NDA menos de 300 (real)6%
NDA 300-325 cadeiras6%

Implied probability (Polymarket) · total volume US$ 0.8M

0255075100Apr 24Jun 24
NDA < 300 (resultado real) 98%NDA 351-375 <1%NDA 376-400 <1%NDA > 400 <1%BJP mantém maioria <1%

Market snapshot on 2024-06-04, pre-result (market closed). View on Polymarket

Political context

The general (lok sabha) election in India 2024 is monitored by AFOS Analytics with prediction market data, electoral polls, and critical event analysis.

Market implications

Election outcomes in India directly impact sovereign risk perception, capital flows, and global investor decisions. Prediction markets price likely scenarios in real time.

Institutional relevance

Funds, banks, and strategic consultancies use election signals to anticipate market movements. AFOS Analytics consolidates these signals into an accessible interface.

Why prediction markets

Real-money prediction markets (like Polymarket) are historically competitive with polls. They reflect where people put their money, not just their opinion; and the divergence between the two is the signal AFOS tracks.