United States · Presidential 2024

Date: 2024-11-05 · Status: Completed

🏆 Who wins?

Volume: $3.7B
Trump56.4%
Harris43.5%

Implied probability (Polymarket) · total volume US$ 3.7B

0255075100Jul 24Nov 24
Trump 59%Harris 41%

Market snapshot on 2024-11-04, pre-result (market closed). View on Polymarket

Political context

The presidential election in United States 2024 is monitored by AFOS Analytics with prediction market data, electoral polls, and critical event analysis.

Market implications

Election outcomes in United States directly impact sovereign risk perception, capital flows, and global investor decisions. Prediction markets price likely scenarios in real time.

Institutional relevance

Funds, banks, and strategic consultancies use election signals to anticipate market movements. AFOS Analytics consolidates these signals into an accessible interface.

Why prediction markets

Real-money prediction markets (like Polymarket) are historically competitive with polls. They reflect where people put their money, not just their opinion; and the divergence between the two is the signal AFOS tracks.

United States 2024 Presidential Election | AFOS Analytics