AFOS Tradeoff
Editions archive
Editions archive14 editions published, newest to oldest.
Issue №14
Week of October 19-23, 2026
The previous issue closed with the House pair summing to 101.00% at Monday's certified reading and said what to watch: if the sum persisted, the House delta would come to need two measures. It did not…
October 2026
- Issue №14Week of October 19-23, 2026→
The previous issue closed with the House pair summing to 101.00% at Monday's certified reading and said what to watch: if the sum persisted, the House delta wou…
- Issue №13Week of October 12-16, 2026→
The previous issue closed by naming the band of 215 to 219 Republican House seats and saying what to watch in it: if it got more expensive, the range in which t…
- Issue №12Week of October 5-9, 2026→
The previous issue opened by saying that the contract on Democratic control of the House had crossed the week with a single distinct value across 46 readings. T…
- Issue №11Week of September 28 - October 2, 2026→
The week of 28 September to 2 October produced two books on the same event with opposite relations between price and implied probability. In the House, the Demo…
September 2026
- Issue №10Week of September 21-25, 2026→
The week of 21 to 25 September separated two behaviours that are usually read as one. In the House, the binary moved 3.00pp over two sessions and then stopped:…
- Issue №9Week of September 14-18, 2026→
The binary Senate control contract paid 60.50% to the Democrats at Friday's close, against 52.50% at the previous Friday's close. That is 8.00pp in one week, an…
- Issue №8Week of September 7-11, 2026→
In the previous issue, the Republican side of both control contracts had not moved a single time. This week both of them moved, and in opposite directions. The…
- Issue №7Week of August 31 - September 4, 2026→
In the week of August 31 to September 4 the Republican side of both control contracts did not move a single time. The Republican House contract stayed at 11.50%…
August 2026
- Issue №6Week of August 24-28, 2026→
In the week of August 24 to 28 the Senate's two books swapped roles. Last issue the one that moved was the seat distribution, with the 51-seat bucket giving up…
- Issue №5Week of August 17-21, 2026→
The week of August 17 to 21 produced actual votes, and the two control contracts ended where they began. Florida and Alaska voted on Aug 18, with Angie Nixon wi…
- Issue №4Week of August 10-14, 2026→
The Senate control contract went from 46.50% for the Democrats at Monday's close, Aug 10, to 52.50% at Friday's close, Aug 14. That is 6.00pp over five sessions…
- Issue №3Week of August 3-7, 2026→
The week of Aug 03 to Aug 07 broke the stillness that Issue №2 reported, and it broke in a specific way that matters more than the size of the move. In the cont…
- Issue №2Week of July 27-31, 2026→
This is the first issue with a weekly window in the United States series. Issue №1, on 31/Jul, was an opening piece: our market collection had only just been sw…